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Having an Auspicious Baby in an Auspicious Year? Empirical Research on Zodiac Preference in China,1949-2008
Ma Yan
Population Research
2010, 34 (5):
104-112.
Zodiac preferences seem to be increasingly popular in our society. However, anecdotal evidence does not necessarily reflect an objective tendency. Using birth data from 1949-2008 in China, this paper applies the indices of age preference to testing preferences for Chinese Zodiac in fertility. Results show that at the national level whether for a single year, or a single Chinese Zodiac, or the whole twelve Chinese Zodiac, Zodiac preferences actually do not exist. Annual fluctuations in births are largely a result of changing population momentum built in the age structure. It is therefore important to overcome superstition of Chinese Zodiac, and to advocate the rational fertility concept in our society.
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